اندیشکده اقبال
20:22

Analysis by Muhammad Hossein Baqeri, Director of the Iqbal Forum , in an interview with the widely followed digital media outlet “Siyasat”

Baqeri believes that the current economic blockade is no different from a physical war. Targeting the livelihood of people is essentially a continuation of the same war; only its form has changed. Trump is not a man of war; he...

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  1. Baqeri believes that the current economic blockade is no different from a physical war. Targeting the livelihood of people is essentially a continuation of the same war; only its form has changed.
  2. Trump is not a man of war; he is looking for an escape route
    Contrary to media hype, Trump is highly afraid of military confrontation. He only engages in “bluffing” to gain leverage before reaching agreements with global powers and to exit the regional crisis.
  3. What is happening in the Strait of Hormuz? No one passes without permission
    According to Baqeri, despite Washington’s claims, the control of the Strait of Hormuz is fully in Iran’s hands, and no vessel dares to pass without coordination. He also called reports about Iranian naval losses “media falsehoods” and said the victims were only local fishermen.
  4. Iran has not yet revealed its main cards
    The United States may be able to carry out airstrikes, but it will never win the war. Iran is managing escalation and has not yet begun its main countermeasures—something the US will not be able to endure.
  5. Where does this game end? Oil at $150 per barrel
    Baqeri predicts that if the situation continues, oil prices will reach $150 per barrel. He believes real negotiations will only take place when economic pressure on both sides reaches its peak and no option other than compromise remains.
  6. Rumors of internal disputes in Iran; a false dream of the enemy
    Rejecting rumors of conflict between the government and the military, he emphasized: “In Iran, no shot is fired without approval from the Supreme National Security Council and the final authorization of the leadership.” All institutions are united as a single front in defense policy

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