Remarks by Muhammad Hussain Baqeri, Director of the iqbal forum, in an Interview with Prominent Political Host Shahzeb Khanzada on Geo News

A Major Shift in Regional Dynamics

The End of Iran’s Strategic Patience

For the first time in history, the Islamic Republic of Iran directly launched missile strikes against Israel in response to attacks on a third country (Lebanon) and the broader Axis of Resistance.

According to this assessment, the move has fundamentally altered the political and security dynamics of the region.

Prepared for War, Open to Peace

Iran’s armed forces are said to be fully prepared for a large-scale conflict.

At the same time, both the Iranian leadership and the public continue to leave room for diplomacy, dialogue, and mutual understanding.

The reopening of airports is viewed as a sign that the situation may be moving back toward stability and de-escalation.

Economic Conditions and Public Sentiment in Iran

Post-War Economic Pressures

The reality, according to this analysis, is that Iran’s economy is under severe strain.

Annual inflation has reportedly reached 77 percent, while prices of certain food products have increased by as much as 114 percent—described as one of the most significant economic shocks since the end of World War II.

National Sovereignty as a Red Line

Despite economic hardship, many Iranians place national independence and territorial integrity above economic concerns.

The message attributed to the public is clear:

“Negotiations are acceptable only if they do not undermine national sovereignty, the resistance strategy, or the country’s regional interests, and if the United States accepts Iran’s key conditions.”

 The Complex Game of Trump and Netanyahu

Netanyahu’s Efforts to Undermine a Deal

Netanyahu is portrayed as strongly opposed to compromise.

Whenever diplomatic progress appears possible, he is said to escalate military actions in an effort to derail negotiations and shift the political trajectory.

Netanyahu’s Popularity Challenge

Support for the Likud Party has reportedly declined, leaving Netanyahu in need of a significant political achievement ahead of elections expected within the next four months.

However, according to this perspective, just as Israel failed to eliminate Hezbollah in 2000 and 2006, attempts to destroy the resistance movement are unlikely to succeed this time as well.

Trump’s Leverage

Israel is described as facing pressure from three fronts—Iran, Yemen, and Lebanon—and remaining heavily dependent on U.S. support.

Trump is viewed as the only figure capable of preventing Netanyahu’s political downfall and potential legal challenges.

To secure a political victory of his own, Trump is said to need this ceasefire agreement. If he is not constrained by pressure from pro-Israel lobbying groups, he is considered fully prepared to endorse and sign such a settlement.