Remarks by Mohammad Hossein Bagheri, Director of the Iqbal Forum , on Pakistan’s 24 News Channel

Iran’s Four-Stage Strategy Against the United States: “There Is No Negotiating Table”

The speaker argues that speculation suggesting Iran is waiting for a “peaceful tweet” from Donald Trump is completely mistaken. According to him, Iran negotiated with the United States three times over the past two years, but was attacked during each round of talks. He concludes that Iranians have now realized that negotiations with Trump are not possible.

Based on this, the speaker says Iran has adopted a four-stage strategy:

1. Applying Heavy Pressure on the Global Energy Market

According to the speaker, if the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait remain closed for another one or two months, international companies, the Gulf states, and the European Union will face a severe energy supply crisis. He argues that this would generate unprecedented domestic pressure on President Trump to change course.

2. Targeting the Enemy’s Logistics System

The speaker claims that Iran has identified the military bases and logistical hubs from which attacks on its territory are coordinated—including locations in Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait, and elsewhere—and intends to target them selectively, one by one.

3. Imposing Continuous Daily Losses

The speaker claims that Iran is launching 40 to 50 missiles daily toward U.S. military bases in the region. He describes this as unprecedented in history, asserting that no country the size of Iran has ever placed around ten military bases of a superpower under daily missile attacks.

4. Expanding the Geographic Scope of the War (The Final Trump Card)

According to the speaker, in the final stage Iran would fully incorporate the Bab el-Mandeb Strait into the conflict, creating major disruption and instability in the Red Sea.

The Speaker’s Conclusion

The speaker argues that these measures would leave the United States facing a strategic dilemma: either launch a ground military operation aimed at changing Iran’s government, or withdraw and accept Iran’s conditions. According to him, there is no other solution.